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Weaker UAE dirham sparks buying spree as British homebuyers surpass Indians

1. Market Shift: Pound Power vs Dirham Downgrade

The UAE dirham, pegged to the U.S. dollar, has weakened by approximately 8% against the British pound since January 2025—thanks in part to U.S. tariffs that have weighed on the dollar. This shift translates into a real discount for investors using stronger currencies like the pound—and even euros and Indian rupees—who now enjoy greater purchasing power without changes to property sticker prices

2. Result: British Buyers Top Indian Nationals in Dubai Real Estate

Thanks to the currency advantage, British buyers ramped up their property purchases in Q2 2025. Figures from brokerage Betterhomes show a 62% year-on-year increase in British investment, making UK residents the largest foreign homebuyers in the emirate—surpassing Indian nationals for the first time since 2023

Gulf News further highlights a 56% quarter-on-quarter surge in UK and Irish buyer activity, with ultra-luxury segment sales sky-rocketing—homes valued at Dhs15 million and above saw 1,417 transactions in Q2—up from just 851 in Q1

3. Developer Response: Targeting British Buyers

Dubai developers have strategically moved to capitalize on this trend. Real estate firms—Binghatti and Danube—opened London sales offices in the past year, joining the likes of Aldar, Damac, and Sobha.They’re offering flexible payment options and UK-themed developments—Damac even partnered with Chelsea FC to offer branded residences tailored for British buyers

4. Cross-Market Echoes: Emirati Buyers Eye London

Interestingly, as Dubai attracts British investment, UAE developers are also expanding into the UK. Aldar’s subsidiary London Square has picked up 15 land sites and launched six developments since late 2023 Meanwhile, other developers—including Danube and Binghatti—are exploring ventures into UK property markets

Furthermore, affluent Emirati investors are increasingly buying in London as property prices in the UK fall. Research from Knight Frank shows that Emiratis now make up 3% of London investors, a fivefold increase from 0.6% just a year earlier

5. Currency Advantage: Savings in Millions

Examples illustrate the currencies’ advantage:

  • A Dhs59 million villa on Palm Jumeirah, which cost over £13.2 million in January, now comes in at around £12 million, saving British buyers over £1.18 million purely due to exchange rate movements
  • Euro-based buyers benefit even more thanks to near 10% appreciation of the euro against the dirham

6. Underlying Risks: Oversupply & Market Caution

Despite growing foreign demand, Dubai’s property market isn’t bulletproof. There are concerns about oversupply, with some analysts, like Fitch, forecasting up to a 15% decline in property prices from late 2025 into 2026

7. Broader Context: Indian Buyers & Market Share

Historically, Indian investors have led the way. In early 2022, they comprised around 40% of Dubai property purchases. In 2023, Indian nationals injected approximately $335 million into the market by mid-year, topping the rankings

Nevertheless, online brokerage Omniacapital notes that Indians still account for about 20% of transactions—notably in high-end sectors like Creek Harbour—though the focus is more on volume than prestige

8. What the Future Holds

  • For British buyers: A weakened dirham makes Dubai prime for high-end investment—luxury villas, beachfront apartments, and branded residences confirm this bullish appetite.
  • For UAE developers: Expanding into London offers both diversification and new opportunities as Dubai faces a supply glut and shifting domestic dynamics.
  • For Indian buyers: While overshadowed temporarily, their continued presence—especially in mid-tier segments—suggests resilience, likely supported by long-term economic ties and diaspora flows.
  • For the property market: The short-term is buoyed by foreign demand and currency swings. However, longer-term depends on balanced supply, broader economic trends, and global geopolitical stability.

Summary Table

FactorDetails
Currency MovementAED down ~8% vs. GBP since Jan 2025—boosting purchasing power for UK buyers.
Buyer ShiftBritish purchases jumped 62% YoY in Q2 2025—surpassing Indian buyers.
Developer StrategyLondon offices; UK-themed builds; flexible plans; branded residences.
Developer ExpansionUAE firms now investing in UK real estate.
Savings ExamplePalm villa saving: £1.18M due to fx (no price drop).
Risk FactorsOversupply; projected 15% price decline into 2026.
Indian MarketStill large share (~20%); volume-oriented; prime segments maintained.

Final Thoughts

The depreciation of the UAE dirham has reshaped Dubai’s real estate landscape—turning the emirate into a prime investment destination for British buyers, who now lead foreign property purchases. Developers have responded smartly with London touchpoints, themed offerings, and payment flexibility. Meanwhile, long-standing players like Indian buyers retain a significant presence, even if currently eclipsed by UK momentum.

Nevertheless, with oversupply and market cooling on the horizon, both developers and buyers will need to stay agile. For now, though, Dubai’s shimmering skyline continues to attract global investors—especially those whose home currencies can stretch further than ever before.

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